NEW DELHI: Two exit polls released on Wednesday gave BJP an edge over AAP in the Delhi assembly polls, one of the four analysed here gave the incumbent a third consecutive decisive mandate and another gave BJP an even clearer win. If the BJP does win, it will end a near three-decade drought – 27 years, to be precise – for the saffron party in the state.
The Matrize poll estimated that BJP would likely cross the majority mark, but only just, with a projected range of 35-40 seats in the 70-member House. P-Marq gave the saffron party a somewhat better range of 39-44 seats while People’s Pulse put the figure at 51-60, a sweep nearly as comprehensive as AAP’s in the last two assembly polls in 2015 and 2020.
In contrast, WeePreside predicted AAP would win 46-52 seats, with BJP at best getting 23 seats. All four polls put the Congress tally at no more than one seat and even that was not a sure shot. For Congress, which was in office in Delhi for 15 years before AAP unseated it, that would mean its hopes of a significant revival in the national capital would once again be dashed.
For AAP, a defeat at this stage where its most prominent leaders are facing cases, would be a body blow. If, on the other hand, BJP were to lose again, it will feel it missed out on a real opportunity to regain office in a small but politically high-profile territory.
A few established pollsters like Axis My India, CVoter and Today’s Chanakya, some of which have at various points in the recent past acquired a reputation for being accurate in their predictions, did not release any exit poll results on Wednesday. TOI learns that they are likely to reveal findings of exit polls or post-poll surveys in the next day or two.
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