NEW DELHI: The BJP is likely to make a strong comeback in Delhi after 27 long years with most exit polls predicting majority for the saffron party and a shock defeat for the AAP which could end Arvind Kejriwal‘s 10-year dream run in politics. The poll of exit polls gives clear majority to the BJP which is predicted to win 43 seats while the AAP may end up a distant second with only 26 seats. The majority mark in the 70-member Delhi assembly is 36.
The Congress, which is fighting a battle for survival in Delhi, may finally open its account in the assembly winning 1 seat. In the last two assembly elections, the Congress could not win any seat.
All exit polls except two have predicted BJP victory in Delhi. Among the exit polls that have predicted BJP win, the People’s Pulse showed the NDA was likely to get 51 to 60 seats, while the AAP may get 10-19 seats. The Congress, it claimed, will not be able to open its account.
According to People’s Insight exit poll, the NDA is likely to get 40 to 44 seats, the AAP 25 to 29 seats, and the Congress 0-1 seat.
The P-Marq exit poll predicted 39-49 seats for the BJP and its allies, 21-31 seats for AAP and 0-1 for the Congress.
The JVC exit poll said the BJP and allies would get 39-45, the AAP 22-31 seats and the Congress 0-2.
Similarly, the Poll Diary predicted 42-50 seats of the BJP and allies, while giving the AAP 18-25 seats, 0-2 for the Congress and 0-1 for others.
Chankya Strategies exit poll said the BJP and allies are likely to get 39-44 seats, the AAP is likely to get 25-28, while Congress may get 2-3.
Two surveys predicted AAP’s victory – Wee Preside, which gave 46-52 sets for AAP, 18-23 for BJP and 0-1 for Congress, and Mind Brink Media predicted 44-49 seats for AAP, 21-25 for BJP and 0-1 for the Congress.
Matrize exit poll predicted a close contest, giving the BJP led NDA 35-40 seats, while the AAP was said to get 32 to 37 seats. The survey gave Congress 0-1 seats.
The DV Research exit polls predicted 26-34 seats for the AAP, and 36-44 for the BJP and allies, giving zero seats to the Congress.
AAP rejects exit poll numbers
The AAP, which swept the last two assembly elections, winning 67 seats in 2015 and 62 seats in 2020, has rejected these numbers, while the BJP termed the predictions an assertion of people’s urge for change.
AAP’s national spokesperson Reena Gupta said exit polls have historically underestimated the Arvind Kejriwal-led party but in actual results, the party gains several times more than these projections. “You look at any exit poll — whether in 2013, 2015 or 2020 — the AAP was always shown getting a smaller number of seats. But it got a greater number of seats in the actual results,” Gupta said.
Delhi BJP president Virendra Sachdeva said the party respects the exit poll predictions. “I believe the people of Delhi made up their minds long ago that they wanted change,” he said.
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